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Strategies & Market Trends : Canadian Options

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To: kajtek who wrote (29)1/23/1997 7:13:00 AM
From: Porter Davis   of 1598
 
Andrzej:

Yes, our program uses a variation of Black and
Scholes. We enter the variables, the most
important of which is volatility. I often feel
that having an idea of where volatility is
going is more important than which way the
stock is going. As to whether you get filled
on a bid between the market--depends on several
things. Does the stock drop far enough, is it
an active series, etc. One of the most common
mistakes I see investors make is having the right
idea but missing the move by trying to save five
or ten cents by middling the market and not getting
the trade up.

Oh, and Barron...you asked, I answered. No need
for an attitude. I add a disclaimer to keep my
butt clean with the OSC.

As I explained, the gap that option players dread/
long for is an overnight or intra-day large gap in
the price of the underlying, like IBM yesterday.

The bid/ask spread is a function of the auction
process. If I think an option is worth $2.00, my
market my be $1.90 - $2.05. Someone else might bid
$1.95. If you go to the store, you don't have the
option (pardon me) to bid on bananas...the owner
sets the price. An auction is the fairest and most
visible way to establish the price of anything.

"Mind the gap!"

Porter
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