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Technology Stocks : Roaring Internet Stocks
YHOO 52.580.0%Jun 26 5:00 PM EST

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To: Jeffrey L. Henken who wrote (508)12/29/1998 7:09:00 AM
From: KM  Read Replies (1) of 1530
 
I know this is probably blasphemy to most of you but you should take a look at this. From a column in theStreet.com about what will stop the internet stocks:

An Insider's Warning
Working as a site designer for many corporate Web sites, including some of the ones investors have seen just released into the IPO market, I can easily tell you that the rise of Internet stocks has been seen by workers in the industry as a joke.

I feel sorry for the investors in Net stocks, because they know very little about what they are buying. Most of the sites we design will never make money. The reason is simple: They are free. I don't care what any Net stock analyst tells you, advertising alone won't cut it, and page views mean nothing. Our research on post-site implementation shows that about 1% of all viewers even click on an ad, and based on numbers alone, this percentage may fall to .5% by spring.

The ultimate killer would be recession, because of the nature of these companies' revenue streams. Do you need a book a week in a recession? Would you pay five cents per email to AOL? Would you auction for merchandise at eBay?

While these stocks are the purest manifestation of this bull market's greed, the sites are an extension of that. Based on what I have seen of the sites we are currently developing and the conversations with colleagues at work on other sites, 95% of these companies will be bankrupt by next year.

--Erik Pupo

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