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Technology Stocks : America On-Line (AOL)

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To: Uncle Frank who wrote (170)12/29/1998 6:03:00 PM
From: Bonnie Bear  Read Replies (5) of 41369
 
I don't think too much about switching from my local public utility, either. But if I model this puppy like a utility using very generous earnings and sales forecasts, and use valuation models like the rest of the utility sector, I get a price of $10 a share.
It's interesting to look at a historic chart of the DOW utility index.
Utilities, like AOL, were bid to fantastic levels in 1929. It has taken nearly 70 years for the utility index to double, and the index lost 95% of its value in the great depression.
So if you want to keep AOL to hand down to your great-great-grandkids, it might be worth something someday. But I think there may be better places for the money during the next 70 years. %-o
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