It is interesting to see TMCS has not yet really responded similarly compared to EBAY's rise (if memory serves me correctly, Robertson Stephens initial report on EBAY implied a target price of $150/sh. when EBAY was also in the $60-$70/sh. range). Perhaps DLJ's soon to be released report will light a spark?
Subject: Re: TMCS target of $145+ Date: Mon, Dec 28, 1998 23:26 EST From: Cardsany1 Message-id: <19981228232637.00798.00003337@ng-fv1.aol.com>
Although BancBoston Robertson Stephens analyst Keith Benjamin did not specifically set a target price in his report, he implies his target price for Ticketmaster is 145+/sh. Benjamin's report is publicly available on the Internet (SI has the full posting) and I quote his report:
"We believe the market opportunity, as measured by newspaper valuations ranging from $4 billion to $20 billion, is large enough to justify the company's market capitalization of over $4.5 billion. We estimate TMCS sites have approximately 2.5 million users, implying a value of $1,800 per user. We believe CitySearch could easily reach several million regular users, implying a potential market capitalization measured in tens of billions based on value per user of approximately $2,000."
$4.5 billion market cap / $65.50sh (Thurs. closing price) = 68,702,290 shs.
$10 billion market cap / 68.7MM shs. = $145.55/sh.
Remember, Benjamin's target market valuation for Ticketmaster is in the "tens of billions".
Good luck to all
|