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Technology Stocks : VALENCE TECHNOLOGY (VLNC)
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To: Mark Johnson who wrote (6548)1/1/1999 1:03:00 PM
From: Larry Brubaker  Read Replies (3) of 27311
 
Mark, it is really stupid of me to respond to you but here goes,

Your analogy to a title insurance policy is appropriate. You have made the decision (based on full disclosure of the risks in your policy) that the likelihood of a nuclear war is small and therefore it is not likely that the government will be mining your land anytime soon.

The SEC filings serve the exact same purpose. The point out the risks of your investment. Armed with full knowledge of the risks, one can choose to invest, or not invest in a company one follows. As those risks change (based on new disclosures), one can continually re-evaluate their decision to invest or not invest.

I would suggest that a constant evaluation of the relative risk-reward ratio using the most up-to-date and most reliable information as possible is the strategy one must pursue with speculative stocks. Blind faith is a recipe for disaster in 99% of such stocks.

I would also suggest that the risk of a nuclear war is somewhat less than the risk you can lose a lot of money in VLNC. I doubt whether your title policy states in capital letters that there is a substantial risk you will lose your entire investment in your property. I would further suggest that the risk of the government using your property affects its market value as compared to equally desirable land with no such risk.
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