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Non-Tech : OAKLEY- NYSE:OO

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To: DD™ who wrote (130)1/24/1997 8:24:00 AM
From: The BayWatcher   of 1383
 
I had noticed OO's stock price trading upward

alongside that of RAYS (Sunglass Hut) until late

yesterday when news came out on RAYS. Montgomery

Securities upgraded RAYS from HOLD to BUY. After

the news, it seems that OO gave up some ground

while RAYS held its gains at 7 13/16. This

morning we found out why: CNBC reported that OO

issued a warning on their upcoming earnings saying

they will fall below consensus estimates. My take

on this is that RAYS has been reducing their own

inventories and slowed purchases from OO and B&L,

thereby causing the earnings shortfall. For the

next couple of months, I think RAYS will move

sharply higher from its 70% plus decline to trade

around 15; the latest Standard & Poors Report on

RAYS states that its fair market value is over 13.

After that, probably by Summer, OO's stock will

rise sharply when RAYS (its largest customer)

resumes ordering at normal levels. Good luck to

all!


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