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Strategies & Market Trends : Anyone following Capstead (CMO)??

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To: Dawgfool who wrote (190)1/5/1999 8:49:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (2) of 216
 
Dawg; Since I posted that last post, sure enough something must be
going on, they sold more calls, this time for 1-3/16..so I missed
an 1/8th on them. That's unusual amount of calls for CMO, and
low and behold she went right on up late today.

Almost makes me feel smart grabbing them at 4-1/4, but I had no idea
she was going to pop up another 1/2. In a way the early price and
volume on the calls may should have told me that, as why would they pay that much premium ?
But all I wanted to look at was the 40% , and
having reduced risk to boot.
----------
I started off buying this thing months ago at $7..and bought at 6, 4
and 2-15/16 until I almost thought I was nuts. She has been a
tough one..I sold the 2-15/16 batch at 4 3/16 & got my tax break,
as I sold them against the first ones, being I use FIFO on all
of my trades, ( anything else would be a nightmare for me to keep
up with ). Today I had some reservations about buying back in
at 4-1/4 but that premium looked good enough to shoot at,
and if she is to drop back it gives me them at 3-3/16 ; I could
be wrong but I just don't see her going back down there.

It's been a pain in the rear, but they haven't shaken me out. <G>
As it is now I'm sort of in limbo with her, being I sold the calls
my over all profit is limited and not a lot if she goes to 5 or above, unless I buy more if she dips again. So it's odd that I now find myself kinda hoping she will dip.
At any rate, if she takes out 5 I'll see that as a break out,
and if they keep paying about 40% on the option premiums,
( that's till June & amounts to 80% a year,) so if
that keeps up I'll likely jump on some more of her.
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Late today at 4-3/4 I could have got 1-3/16th for 5ves but
that only = 30%, were my 1-1/6 on 4-1/4 actually equaled = 42.5 %
so it's not as good from the option selling angle at the close
as it was earlier today.
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It's not so much as I see this as some real hot stock, as that
I've messed with her so much I got a feel for her and that
means a lot.
---------
Jim

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