Here's a recommendation for PEGAE from INVESTools:
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> 5. Pegasystems: A Fixable Turnaround (PEGAE) Wednesday, January 6, 1999
Turnaround expert George Putnam says he's always on the lookout for good companies that are distressed by problems that are fixable. "Pegasystems (PEGAE) seems to be just such an opportunity," he says. Pegasystems is the leading provider of customer service management software for large, transaction-intensive business such as banks and credit card companies.
Like many software companies, Pegasystems recognized its revenue aggressively -- too aggressively for auditors Ernst & Young who resigned over the issue. Wall Street punished the stock by dropping it from the $30s into the high teens. The revenue recognition problem may be back again, though. The firm was late in filing its latest quarterly report to the SEC as it was reviewing revenue recognition in recent quarters, and soon after it announced Q4 earnings would fall below expectations. Wall Street mercilessly drove the firm's stock from above $17 in October to its current level near $4.
"We think Wall Street has over-reacted to the problems at Pegasystems," Putnam says. Though he concedes that he isn't sure how serious the accounting problems are, Putnam cites the firm's superior product in a growing market, sound financial position (no debt and plenty of cash), management with tremendous incentive to get things back on track, and signs that the accounting problems are being solved. "We think the potential rebound in the stock now outweighs the risk of further unpleasant surprises. Therefore, we recommend that aggressive investors buy Pegasystems up to 7 1/2," Putnam says. >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> |