An historical retrospective on the countervailing forces of Dark Suckers: Surge of Interest in Electricity Mirrors Today's Internet Hype. By DAVID WESSEL Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
Quick: Think of a new end-of-the-century technology that captivates entrepreneurs and investors and sends stock prices of pioneering companies to unimaginable heights.
Try electricity in late-19th-century London, a time and a place in the throes of a "hectic boom in electric lighting shares," as one historian has put it. It is a tale whose inception has eerie similarities to today's huge run-ups in Internet stocks and might be considered cautionary: The English electric-light boom wasn't only brief, but was followed by a bust that set back the widespread use of electricity in Britain for decades.
The 1880s were a time of technological turmoil. Many of the companies that seemed to have the hottest prospects, it turned out, didn't have the winning technology. The clout and staying power of electricity's chief competitors -- gas utilities run by local governments -- proved to be much greater in Britain than in the U.S. And clumsy government regulation also handicapped the highflying industry.
"The electric light is very probably a great invention, and ... let us take for granted that its future development will be vast," the Economist weekly newspaper cautioned presciently on May 20, 1882. "But this, unhappily, cannot be urged as a reason why the pioneer companies should always be prosperous."
Leslie Hannah, dean of London's City University Business School and author of a book on the history of electricity in Britain, says: "It's the huge successes that people remember when they pour money into new technology. There is that element in the 1880s and now."
Euphoric Investors
In the spring of 1882, a time when gas was the most widely used source of indoor lighting in London, euphoric investors pushed up prices for shares of the first companies to license various patents for equipment to power electric lights. The same companies often manufactured products and sold the service.
Seeing investors' appetite, other electric companies rushed to the market. In the two weeks before the Economist's caution, 16 lighting companies sold shares to the public, raising 2.85 million pounds (roughly 126 million pounds at today's prices, or $210 million in today's U.S. dollars). But few of the companies prospered.
Hammond Electric Light & Power Supply Ltd. sold shares in the spring of 1882 for a bit more than 2 pounds each. By May 16, the shares were trading at 21 pounds apiece. A month later, they had dropped below 15 pounds, and they ended the year at 3 pounds. The company was liquidated three years later.
Another company, Anglo-American Brush Electric Light Corp., had been formed in 1880 to exploit British rights to patents held by American inventor C.F. Brush. It sold equipment itself and licensed others to sell it in other regions. At the beginning of 1882, the company's shares were trading in London at 9 pounds. In mid-May, the shares hit a peak of 31 pounds. By the end of 1882, Anglo-American Brush's stock was at 6 pounds.
Then things got worse. Both Anglo-American Brush and a competitor had purchased what each had thought was the exclusive right to an important invention. And companies to which Brush had sold concessions began to sell them back.
Thomas Hughes, a retired University of Pennsylvania historian of technology and author of "Networks of Power," wrote in that book that by 1883 Anglo-American "stood revealed as a patent-holding and manufacturing company which had been founded on an arc-lighting system that was no longer outstanding in the field and on an incandescent-lamp patent of doubtful value." Angry shareholders forced a reorganization of the company.
The excitement surrounding electricity coincided with growing speculation in industrial stocks. In 1876, financial promoter Albert Grant wrote of the period as "an era when everyone was seeking what he could make on the Stock Exchange. . . . I know hundreds who would rather make 50 pounds on the Stock Exchange than 250 pounds by the exercise of their profession."
'Daily Increasing Demand'
During the electric-light boom, some companies issued shares through blue-chip merchant banks, but others attracted investors through newspaper ads. An 1882 ad for the Gulcher Electric Light & Power Co., formed to promote a light bulb invented by one R.J. Gulcher, read like a carnival barker's pitch: "This company has been formed to supply the daily increasing demand for the Electric Light, which has now, by reason of its great illuminating power, its freedom from heat, noxious vapours, smoke and danger by explosion, been recognised as the light of the immediate future."
To some historians, all the electricity hype masked what was basically a scam. Mr. Hannah, the City University Business School dean, has written that the promoters of shares in electric companies made exaggerated claims to "a prematurely enthusiastic investing public," adding: "Most of this money appears to have been applied to paying worthless patent fees for often fraudulent inventions, legal expenses and promoters' profits, rather than to the real capital development of the industry."
Mr. Hughes, the Penn historian, says the episode illustrates the power of government and vested interests to disrupt the promise of a new technology. Newly formed electric utilities needed permission to dig up the streets to lay power lines. The Electric Light Act, passed by Parliament in 1882, regulated the companies; among other things, it gave municipal authorities, who were partial to gas, the right to buy the local companies after 21 years on terms very unfavorable to private investors. This and other provisions were changed by Parliament six years later, but damage had been done.
"The disillusionment of private investors in 1882 after the collapse of stock market speculation, together with the passage of the Electric Light Act, discouraged risk taking," Mr. Hughes has written."
The laws, he added, "reflected the pervasively conservative attitudes of economic, political and technological interest groups that were quite content with ... a world without electric power systems." |