The Thread Formerly Known as No Rest For The Wicked Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : The Thread Formerly Known as No Rest For The Wicked

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To: Tim Luke who wrote (6495)	1/9/1999 4:33:00 PM
From: Glenn	Read Replies (2) of 90042

I am curious now if the early post was a disservice to the thread. Good experiment. If it now gaps up big maybe the recommendation will reverse. From the quick dd I did, I don't personally see a big gap up. I didn't check out the earnings date. Looks like a solid position pick to me. Smiles, Glenn Valuation using the industry's current multiple (P/E): Fiscal Year Est. Price % Change 7/1999 $21.51 3.68% 7/2000 $24.92 20.10% Vail Resorts current price: $20.75 Resorts & Casinos group current multiple (P/E): 21.30 Vail Resorts average 7/1999 analyst estimate: $1.01 Vail Resorts average 7/2000 analyst estimate: $1.17 How certain is the price estimate? Investors estimate the level of unanimity about a stock's prospects among analysts by calculating the range between the most optimistic and most pessimistic estimates. Average number of analysts covering Vail Resorts: 6 Vail Resorts analysts' high/low spread: 13% Vail Resorts analysts' confidence: High Earnings Per Share - Quarterly Results FY (7/99) FY (7/98) FY (9/97) 1st Qtr $-0.59 $-0.29 $0.23 2nd Qtr NA $0.47 $1.38 3rd Qtr NA $1.20 $-0.40 4th Qtr NA $-0.20 $-0.59 Total $-0.59 $1.18 $0.62

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