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Technology Stocks : AUTOHOME, Inc

ATHM 23.43

-2.1%

3:59 PM EST

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To: RocketMan who wrote (4215)	1/13/1999 2:05:00 AM
From: ahhaha	Read Replies (1) of 29970

We are not ready for a bout with inflation. The FED must adequately prepare the way first as they are currently doing. The track they are on forces them to constantly have to increase the quantity of reserves into the banking system. Otherwise, they believe our economy or the world's economy will recess. When the FED pumps, the effective final demand thereby generated goes to the producers of lowest cost. That's Asia. Aided by individual domestic circumstances Asian manufacturers start increasing runs. This eventually leads to a booming Asia. A booming Asia uses up Asian capacity so our extra demand then goes to our domestic high priced manufacturers. Our capacity utilization rises. The unions, even at 10% of labor force, sense they can push through inflationary wage demands and they do. They have a lot of catching up to do. You have to wait for boom in Asia before trouble can start here. Is that likely? Very. Asia is now entering an extended period of alternating booms and busts. This is the macroeconomic nature of an emerging region especially one with such dynamically competing countries.

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