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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Michael Burry who wrote (5764)1/13/1999 3:36:00 PM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris  Read Replies (1) of 78639
 
Mike,

>Amazon.com... could do 10 $1 billion dollar stock
> acquisitions of real companies that needed to earn their
>way to $1 billion market cap, and AMZN stock would hardly
> suffer.

It would not suffer from dilution. It would suffer
from unpredictable changes of investor psychology.
I.e. investors seeing AMZN buy a "slow grower" would decide
that the 100% growth days are over and it's time
to bail. The stock would crash in a day. Of course they
could buy another bubble stock but such purchase would not
improve their situation.

>If Amazon started to do that, or did a second offering at
> these prices, I'd have to cover.

Secondaries are also dangerous to bubble stocks.
They increase the float and raise uncomfortable questions
about capital use. See my discussion with Paul on IOM's
secondary.

Good luck

Jurgis
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