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Gold/Mining/Energy : JDS Fitel

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To: mariner who wrote (545)1/13/1999 9:38:00 PM
From: pat mudge  Read Replies (2) of 815
 
bricks and bouquets more than welcome.

Bouquets. . .

Based on comments at the recent NGN conference --- bandwidth demand doubling every 3 months --- and from projections made by SDLI's CEO at the AEA conference --- laser amplifier market growing at 70 to 100% a year, I think we've got a winning investment with JDS Fitel. Fiber amplifiers alone are estimated to be a $1.5 billion market in 2000. In 16-channel systems CAGR from 1996 to 2003 is estimated to be 44% and for 32-channel systems 107%. The total market for DWDM components is estimated to grow from $0 .10 billion in 1995 to $12.1 billion in 2005. These are today's projections. It will be interesting to see what they are a year from today.

I believe JDS Fitel is well positioned to benefit from the market no matter which big names win the transport contracts and today's earnings show that even when a global slow-down halved semiconductor growth overnight their numbers grew over 80% Y to Y.

Wouldn't you love to see a Goldman Sachs take this story and run with it? :))

I'll be up at dawn.

Pat
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