Intel at $200 Message Board

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Technology Stocks : Intel at $200

INTC 39.99

-0.4%

Oct 31 9:30 AM EDT

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To: Joan Osland Graffius who wrote (205)	1/29/1997 4:00:00 AM
From: Kevin OBrien	of 282

I don't try to estimate future growth rates but look to past FY data. It is a surprise what a goldmine the history is. My work is very heavily weigted towards earning/share and some astute investors may even have a sense for this in the PE. Generally I just ignore all rumor, potential business plans.. History keeps repeating itself. 'Extraordinaries' keep on recurring.... I have reduced my work to a simple set of equations. Any price prediction I make will be relative to the S&P500 index at the time. so if it moves 10% my price which represents the full price of the share will move accordinly. I wish I could give more but commercial reasons prevent this. Kevin

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