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Technology Stocks : Data Broadcasting Corp. (DBCC)

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To: Kevin Podsiadlik who wrote (4129)1/17/1999 11:28:00 AM
From: drakes353  Read Replies (2) of 5102
 
Kevin:

So now, people are going to be unwinding positions. True, this does mean some covering on DBCC, but it also means MKTW will be sold off. IMHO these forces will tend to cancel each other out in the short term.

Not a chance. The arbs won't unwind until DBCC trades at a substantial discount to its MKTW value, probably around 40%

Using Friday's MKTW close, it's safe to assume you wouldn't see wholesale arb unwind until DBCC trades at around $13 (97.5 * .138 * .6 + $5)

Here's a table for the math challenged out there (not directed at you) that shows you where DBCC "should" trade based on MKTW's price:

MKTW-->DBCC
50----->9.14
60----->9.97
70----->10.80
80----->11.62
90----->12.45
100---->13.28
110---->14.11
120---->14.94
130---->15.76
140---->16.59
150---->17.42
160---->18.25
170---->19.08
180---->19.90
190---->20.73
200---->21.56
210---->22.39
220---->23.22
230---->24.04
240---->24.87
250---->25.70

Regards,

drakes353
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