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Pastimes : Things That Annoy Me

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To: David Lawrence who wrote ()	1/18/1999 2:32:00 AM
From: Wigglesworth	Read Replies (1) of 4023

Planning by the Army, Navy and Air Farces (sic)! Kenneth Arrow, a Nobel laureate in economic science, likes to tell his students the story of a group of statisticians (of which he was one) in the Pentagon during World War II who were responsible for forecasting the number of rainy days in Europe a month ahead of time. At some point, the statisticians concluded that the forecasts were worthless and asked Gen. Henry H. "Hap" Arnold, chief of the Army Air Forces, for permission to stop making them. After a few weeks the following reply came from Arnold: "The commanding general is well aware that the forecasts are no good. However, he has to have them for planning purposes."

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