Consumers Flock Online (No EGGS references, but good reading)
E-Retailers Rack Up Record Holiday Season
Although online retailers aren't raking in profits, the Internet has become a shoppers' paradise. (ABCNEWS.com)
By Michael J. Martinez ABCNEWS.com Jan. 15 — Nineteen ninety-eight was the year e-commerce arrived.
Online retail sites had a great holiday shopping season. Total holiday sales over the Internet are estimated anywhere from $2.3 billion to $3.5 billion — at least a 300 percent increase over 1997. America Online's 15 million members spent $1.2 billion between Thanksgiving and Christmas, or about $80 per member. AOL reports that more than 1 million members made their first online purchase this year. Online retailers reported similar gains. Bookseller Amazon.com reported $250 million in fourth-quarter sales, up from just $66 million in the last three months of 1997. Amazon.com's failure to turn a profit has not prevented its stock price from soaring.
In the Net We Trust One barrier that finally appears to have fallen is online (in)security. No longer do consumers fear putting their credit card numbers online. “That fear is usually quite pronounced among new users,” says Andrew Bartells, Connecticut-based analyst for the Giga Information Group. “Once you get them to try it once, generally they're hooked.” Bartells points to AOL as one of the leaders in online commerce, saying that the ease-of-use and friendliness of AOL's proprietary content draws consumers in, and makes them feel comfortable opening their wallets online. Jon Zeitlin, manager of Excite's shopping strategy, agrees with that assessment. “We look at AOL in terms of having been in this gig for three years, and we truly admire them,” Zeitlin says. “That doesn't mean we don't want to beat them at their own game.”
E-Commerce Trends The growing penetration of the Internet portends not only big numbers but shifts in consumer habits. Not only will online sales continue to grow in 1999, but online shopping will become pervasive — even for purchases made at a brick-and-mortar store. Some trends are already emerging: “Portal” sites are quickly evolving into destinations in and of themselves, positioning themselves as online shopping malls. With America Online leading the way, megasites like Yahoo! and Excite now provide “contextual commerce” — a process where each click by a user leads inexorably toward a purchasing decision — along with access to thousands of stores. Price matters less than ease of use and convenience. While online retail veterans like Amazon.com regularly discount their prices, industry observers agree that consumers go online for convenience. With the hectic pace of Netizens' lives, it's just easier to order online. In the longer term, however, as more and more Americans go online and competition heats up, they'll start comparison-shopping and price will become more of a factor. Products once thought unmarketable online are being sold electronically after all. Shoppers seem willing to pay a premium (in shipping prices) to avoid driving to the mall. Even if you're selling handcrafted custom suits, chances are someone out there is willing to plunk down the bucks and transmit his measurements. According to Ford Cavallari, commerce consultant and vice president of Boston-based Renaissance Worldwide Inc., “there's nothing you won't be able to sell online in a few years.” (Don't believe him? Check out Buy the Best, which offers stereos that cost as much as cars, cars that cost as much as small aircraft, and small aircraft that cost a fortune.) Even businesses that sell only through physical outlets will probably need a Web presence. Writes industry analyst (and ABCNEWS.com Next Files columnist) Mark Anderson: “Although you may not buy your car or select your doctor on the Net, the chances are increasingly high that you did the research there (and made your buying decision there) first.” “This year was a good year,” says Cavallari. “Next year will be a great year.” |