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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly?
MSFT 480.82+0.6%3:59 PM EST

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To: Zanga56 who wrote (14527)1/18/1999 8:53:00 PM
From: t2   of 74651
 
The unearned revenue is a pool of funds that at the end of last quarter was at 3.1
billion. Every qtr they put in money and they use some of the money. the net affect is
that at the end of the qtr it stood at 3.1 Billion. This is what i understand. I may be
wrong?


As I understand it, you are right. However the 3.1 billion represents the cummulative
amount for the past couple of years. The increase in each quarter is the netting of
amounts put into the unearned revenue minus what becomes
"earned revenue" and reported in the EPS. Therefore it
is the change. I think you have to determine the change in this account over the last
4 quarters (or last 3 plus your current quarter estimate), in order for this number to
enter into your "trailing PE" calculation. The rest of it should be included in periods
more than 4 quarters ago.

They got into this unearned revenue business in a big way about
1 1/2 to 2 years ago. A lot of stupid investors did not see through
this and believed what the company had to say. I think times are
different these days---you don't want to make the same mistakes again.
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