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Technology Stocks : America On-Line (AOL)

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To: Robert C. Hawkins who wrote (2949)1/20/1999 11:19:00 AM
From: robert duke  Read Replies (1) of 41369
 
Have you ever read any books by Harry S. Dent, or listened to bob brinker?

The average person spends the most amount of money by age 46-47. After that age statistically people stop spending and start savings. So in the year 2008 the highest amount of people born in one year will be at age 46.5 So after this high population point in the babyboom wave passes through it continues to drop for 12 years until the next wave comes into the spending cycle.

Now if you chart this back for all the year the market has been around you will find an amazing result.

The market goes in line with the population? Wow amazing, actually it is really simple.

Most bull market last 29 years while the population wave pass through. Then the population drops until the next group comes into play which is 12 year laster.

Remember japan and the Nikke average. It got up to like 38,000 then it has been dropping ever since. It is now at like 13,500. Well that's becasue the population is small at the phase and the spending is not present yet. In about 6 years they will start another bull market.

If you have any other ideas that might help our quest for seeing the future let me know.
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