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Technology Stocks : Primestar/TCI Satellite (TSATA)

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To: Y-fall who wrote (203)1/21/1999 2:36:00 PM
From: Snake  Read Replies (2) of 442
 
It looks as though there is a lack of understanding regarding Primestar and TSATA's relationship and structure. TSATA only owns 37% of Primestar. I think better calculations are as follows:

$500,000,000 cash for assets
2,300,000 subs times $800/sub to be paid as they convert if they convert. Assuming all convert = $1,840,000,000

Total price for assets = $1.8 + .5 = $2,300,000,000 less approx $1,700,000,000 in debt = $600,000,000

Reports are that Primestar would sell its assets to DTV, so TSATA would remain in existence and only get 37% of $600 million or $222 million divided by 60 million shares = $3.7 at the most.

You also figure that DTV doesn't pay for subscribers unless they convert or until they convert, so look for actual numbers to be maybe 1.5 million subscribers at $800 or $1.2 Billion plus $500 million in assets = $1.7 billion in cash less debt = 0.

So, there may be no value in TSATA or Primestar unless you are a bondholder, and then maybe you will get your money back.

$2/share may be generous for TSATA. Hope this helps in an explanantion why people may not be buying. People looking for $8-$10/share may end up with nothing. Primestar is not worth over $3 billion which translates down to $8-$10/share.
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