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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor
GDXJ 128.04+0.7%Jan 16 4:00 PM EST

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To: Hawkmoon who wrote (26873)1/23/1999 6:21:00 PM
From: donald martin  Read Replies (1) of 116871
 
Ron, Appreciate what you said about not being able to respond to everything.

Your first sentence in a previous post caught my eye.

<<When people default on their debts, the money that was "created" through those loans is "destroyed".>>

I'm bullish on gold, in part, because of the growth I see in M2/M3. Now, I fault the Fed, ONLY IN PART, for this recent, rapid growth. But in reality, this growth is coming from banks only too willing to lend to shaky entities. And, as this cycle gets long in the tooth, it seems the creditworthiness of newer debtors isn't quite as pristine, and loan officers aren't as careful, as they were at the beginning of the cycle.

I bring this up because a gentle recession could bring about a "destruction" of enough of those loans to bring M2/M3 growth down into what I THINK is a low/no inflation band of growth.

Thing is, how often do you get the perfect recession?
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