Telebras (TBH) & Brazil Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Telebras (TBH) & Brazil

TBH 0.750

-14.5%

Dec 5 9:30 AM EST

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To: Tony van Werkhooven who wrote (12311)	1/24/1999 2:35:00 PM
From: Worswick	Read Replies (1) of 22640

Tony hello...hope you are fine today. It isn't that I am preternaturally gloomy but I think we really, all of us, have to consider what has happened in the world financial markets in the last 18 months. Think about what has happened. Give me an explanation. Please. We are now living - to begin with - in an era of "heightened investment risk". I don't know if you follow Charles Mosley of the Skeptical Investor but he, as well as I, are proponents for a deflationary scenario on a world wide scale. We are in a huge deflationary cycle here. I think this is really what you are seeing here in the world at the moment - all commodities go down, people wait to buy, the markets go down more. More and more "goods" are dumped on the market. Absent the white noise of the economists and the financial writers... the forest when you see the trees here.... is a delationary environment. As I aid. Please I am not wed to this idea. I get nothing whatsoever out it except cheap Thai Shrimp at the A & P and now, certainly, less expensive coffee....not to mention $ .95 per galon gas here in the US. World wide deflation. It seems to be gather ing steam. Comments from Japan that would have rocked the markets to their socks have been made by Japanese...by Japanese officials....and these commments are greeted with ho hum. Amazing. All for now and my very best, Clark

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