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Technology Stocks : Vantive Corporation
VNTV 77.60+2.6%Jan 12 4:00 PM EST

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To: 45bday who wrote (2707)1/26/1999 5:44:00 PM
From: seth thomas  Read Replies (1) of 3033
 
I"m sure there are a million rumors out there. This one doesn't make much sense - RMDY's cap, after today, is about 600MM. VNTV is about $375M, but if VNTV has a good day in next few days, pre- or post-announcement, their cap could be back up to 400 - 500MM. Unlikely RMDY will buy a $500 MM company. VNTV is not distressed - why would they want to do this?

I think that to buy VNTV, you'd need a premium of at least $100 - 200MM (unless this quarter was a disaster, which I think not). SO, someone would have to buy the company for at least 20, and maybe 25 at this point.

This always amazes me, BTW. YOu could have bought VNTV 3 months ago for 10 -12; now, 3 months later, I think you'd need to spend 20 - 25. The company is not fundamentally that different today than 90 days ago.
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