AOL, now I get it Message Board

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Technology Stocks : AOL, now I get it

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To: yard_man who wrote (425)	2/2/1997 4:01:00 PM
From: Bill Chase	of 496

Barry and all-AOL First Call earnings estimate. It looks even worse than 2wks ago. Strange how for a wk and a half there was no AOL report on the First Call board on AOL, however this morning they reappearred. This one is dated 1/20. According to First Call earnings will be reported on the Wk of Feb 3-Zacks says Thur Feb 6. -Bill FIRST CALL EARNINGS ESTIMATES AOL America Online Inc. 01/20/97 Industry: Consumer Svc SIC: 7370 Latest Price: $40.25 1997 P/E: - Analyst Recommendation: 1.8 QTR QTR FY FY Dec 96 Mar 97 Jun 97 Jun 98 --- --- -- -- CURRENT MEAN EPS -0.53 0.00 -0.26 0.80 Number of Brokers 13 10 13 14 Median -0.57 0.00 -0.27 0.80 Standard Deviation 0.09 0.01 0.08 0.06 Current High -0.27 0.03 -0.08 0.88 Current Low -0.64 -0.01 -0.37 0.65 Year Ago EPS 0.10A 0.14A 0.51A -0.26 Current vs. Year Ago Change -630% -100% -151% 408% Report Date wk/Feb 3 wk/May 8 wk/Aug 8 - EARNINGS ESTIMATE REVISION MOMENTUM Up Revisions last 7 days 1 2 1 2 Up Revisions last 30 days 2 3 1 2 Down Revisions last 7 days 1 0 1 0 Down Revisions last 30 days 4 0 5 1 EARNINGS ESTIMATES CONSENSUS TRENDS Current Mean -0.53 0.00 -0.26 0.80 7-days ago Mean -0.52 0.00 -0.26 0.79 30-days ago Mean -0.45 0.00 -0.19 0.79 60-days ago Mean -0.31 -0.01 -0.08 0.80 90-days ago Mean 0.22 0.26 0.97 1.90 COMPARATIVE ESTIMATES AND TRENDS Industry - Consumer Sv 2.52 11.66 23.06 22.57 Current vs. Year Ago Change -37% 19% 14% -2% Sector - CONSMR: N-CYC 14.65 15.58 61.23 79.15 Current vs. Year Ago Change 13% 14% 13% 29% WSJ/DJ US Index 10.18 10.01 40.81 46.32 Current vs. Year Ago Change 10% 15% 11% 14% Ratios Relative To: Company Industry Sector WSJ/DJ P/E on 1997 Cal Yr Mean 111.8 30.53 20.61 16.65 PEG on 1997 Cal Yr Mean 2.24 1.45 1.48 1.42 RECOMMENDATION AND GROWTH RATES RECOMMENDATIONS LONG TERM GROWTH RATES Current Mean 1.8 Next 5 yrs - Median 50% Number of Brokers 15 Number of Brokers 7 Industry Recommendation: 1.9 Industry Growth Rate: 21% 7-days ago Mean 1.8 Next 5 yrs - High 75% 30-days ago Mean 1.8 Next 5 yrs - Low 25% 60-days ago Mean 1.6 Last 5 Years 56% 90-days ago Mean 1.6 Diff. from Industry +0.1 Rel. to Industry 2.4 Diff. from Sector +0.4 Rel. to Sector 3.6 Diff. from WSJ/DJ US +0.4 Rel. to WSJ/DJ US 4.3 Transmitted: 1/27/97 4:40 PM (E_AOL)

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