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Pastimes : The Naked Truth - Big Kahuna a Myth
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To: Cynic 2005 who wrote (17132)1/28/1999 3:21:00 PM
From: Defrocked  Read Replies (1) of 86076
 
Although GDP will certainly be interesting, most
analysts are struggling with Q1 expectations. Thus,
tomorrow's Jan. Chicago Purchasing Managers survey, especially
regarding new orders, should help provide guidance for
Monday's national NAPM number. The last beige book,
released on Jan.20, had positive growth outlook ("...most
districts remain optimistic about 1999 especially the
first half"). IMHO bonds will be more sensitive to
NAPM than GDP this time around. BTW, AG closely monitors
the NAPM reports.

A 4.5% to 5.0% GDP 4QP "is in" the market with a 1.1% deflator.
Chicago NAPM should be around 51 up from 50.9.
National NAPM should be around 47 up from 45.3.
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