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Non-Tech : Invest / LTD

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To: Broken_Clock who wrote (6931)	1/28/1999 11:16:00 PM
From: The Ox	Read Replies (2) of 14427

I think an important factor regarding any future crash is that it won't be an overnight situation. Even the Japanese market crash in 1990 took about the entire 1st quarter to make the initial drop of 30+% if my memory serves me. It went down hard and fast but it didn't drop 30% in a day. I think that's a distinction that gets over looked by LT. LT, I believe you should outline your systemic breakdown scenario. Simply saying watch the bond market isn't enough, IMO as you should detail your hypothesis. What market jarring situation is going to occur? Many of us believe that a correction is due and could happen at any time in the near future. I still don't see the total meltdown as a strong possibility. I'm open to all opinions, especially those who can back their's up with reason. Michael

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