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Technology Stocks : Novell (NOVL) dirt cheap, good buy?

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To: Paul Fiondella who wrote (25220)1/29/1999 4:00:00 PM
From: Don Troppmann  Read Replies (1) of 42771
 
Paul:

It appears Bernie may have gotten 7 & 11 for his turn rolling the dice.

While the premium on the option LNOAD seems high at first glance the option position offers almost a dollar for dollar opportunity. A move to 21 by Novell, prior to the end of September 1999 would likely produce a 25% dollar for dollar return on your investment. Novell at 22 produces a 50% return and so on.

If the stock moves to 22 by March 31, and you took your profits, the annualized rate of return would be in the range of 200%

It appears Bernie perceives very substantial support for Novell in the 19-20 range. Basically Bernie has managed to get almost an even money bet in the options market.

Much better than rolling the dice.

Don T.

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