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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
AMZN 229.60+1.5%3:59 PM EST

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To: Gary Ball who wrote (37676)1/29/1999 10:02:00 PM
From: Bill Harmond  Read Replies (1) of 164684
 
>>I am not sure why you feel bearish on the market and the internet
group.

I'm not so bearish, just cautious enough not to be long. If I were bearish, I'd be betting bigger. Breadth stinks, less than half of NYSE stocks are above their 200-day averages and the situation has deteriorated lately, the Real is in collapse, etc.

You're right about tech stocks. The semi equipment group and a handful of super-cap names are doing magnificently, and there's plenty of money coming in. The Internet leadership is consolidating and the secondaries are being bid-up on buyout speculation.

Lucent is consolidating. For the past two years, Lucent has been the perfect bell-weather.

Meanwhile Treasuries are doing great, and I'm in the middle if dividing-up management. I'm up something around 60% for 1999, and since I sold out I haven't had much focus or felt much pressure to risk much.

I have a 1% position in Yahoo puts, 80% in T-Bonds, and the rest in cash. I'll be at the Montgomery Technology Conference next week, so perhaps I'll get my batteries charged.

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