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Technology Stocks : Phoenix Technologies (PTEC)

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To: Mark Brophy who wrote (442)2/3/1997 2:08:00 PM
From: Tim Oliver   of 3624
 
Mark B., is this a trick question? Both MDCD and MACR have had
flat revenues over the past 4-5 quarters. Whenever I see a trend of
flat revenues I get concerned about either industry growth or
competition.

In MDCD's case, I'd worry too much about Microsoft
and Novell if not their direct competitors, since they have such a
horizontal application sitting right on top of Microsoft and Novell's
system software. I don't know what's causing MACR's "pain" but
they were a darling on Wall Street that fell out of the sky and that'll
be hard to recover if it's fundamental.

Both MDCD and MACR are both well covered and have large
institutional coverage. MDCD has 62% stock held by institutions
and MACR has 86% (according to stocksmart). I believe MACR
was in almost every tech. portfolio a year or so ago. Apparently
MDCD even had Dan Dorfman covering it and it has at least 4
major brokers covering it.

In contrast, PTEC's institutional coverage is only about 14%
other than the top two institutions, so there's an obvious difference in
coverage. PTEC's revenues are also trending up and their
competitive position is only getting stronger in a business where
barriers to entry are becoming increasingly greater.

Any others?

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