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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna
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To: William H Huebl who wrote ()2/3/1997 5:32:00 PM
From: White Shoes   of 94695
 
William,

Your thread is popular! I think because people are jittery. What I would welcome is advice from people who know a little bit about contrarian indicators. In my thread I referred mainly to the kind of psychological 'froth' indicators like too much talk of equities at parties, but I know there are economists, etc., out there, who use measures in the performance of the market, the economy in general, and bull/bear sentiment indicators, to suggest evidence of the mother of all market tops.

If this last gasp of hype on the Y2K plays and the search engines is any indicator then we are indeed on the cusp of a big meltdown. There ought to be a few more tulip festivals this spring before the big party ends. But who can time it?

Some of the apocalyptic thinkers out there have for several years been mentioning the decline of the money supply as a harbinger of DOOM the likes of which hasn't been seen since 1929. They suggest that even as interest rates declined, some measures of the money supply have continued to decline. That was a couple of years ago, however, and interest rates CONTINUED to decline after that. I wonder if the money supply numbers have responded to this.

Anyone interested in discussing similar subjects might want to visit my thread entitled "SELL??? Contrarian Indicators in the Market". The thread could use more data. Thanks!

Subject 9871
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