Called company. Earnings will be announced "around" Friday. Company has a policy of not being specific to dissuade short term traders like me. Friday, Feb 7 is also their annual shareholders meeting in St. Louis.
Spent some time reading their 10Q reports in the Edgar file. The purchase of the Hungarian company, Viscosa, seems too good to be true. According to my reading, for $18M they purchased a company that gave them an additional FY96 revenue of around $51 M and additional net income after taxes of $3M. Using conservative US valuation ratios of 1.0 times sales or 10 times net income, Viscosa would be valued between $30 M and $51M --again a steal at $18M.
Given that Zoltek pumped $5M in working capital and $1M in capital expenditure and set up $3M reserve for environmental cleanup, etc., it is reasonable that the Hungarian govt sold out for $18M because this company was (is) a cash hog.
Bottom line, I can believe the sales figure of $51M from Visosa, but I doubt the $3M profit, given the amount of cash Zoltek has to pump in during the year.
Also, something doesn't smell right about how they do currency translations. Remember, approx 65-70% of ZOLT's revenue is initally in foreign currency -- "forints". Very little is said in the 10Qs about currency hedging. With the dollar very strong these past months against all currencies, I wonder how this affects ZOLT's reported earnings?
I could spend weeks analyzing their 10Qs. |