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Strategies & Market Trends : How To Write Covered Calls - An Ongoing Real Case Study!

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To: RayV who wrote (9556)2/2/1999 6:56:00 PM
From: Herm  Read Replies (1) of 14162
 
Yeah Ray,

TECD - BARGAIN ON SALE!

I noticed the 11 1/2 (-36%) point dump today on earnings release! I
experienced the same thing myself with TECD when it dumped 9 points
in one day about two years ago. TECD is a heck of a bargain at these
levels. TECD had been trading about 800,000+ and today TECD traded a
massive 13,000,000+ with 183 large blocks! WOW! The last tick was up
on 8,000 shares. Earnings were pretty good for this quarter and the
year! But, they warned of weaker-than-expected earnings for the next
two quarters. They do have a large stake in Latin America.

NASDAQ: (TECD : $20 5/16) $978 million Market Cap at February 2, 1999
Ranks 282nd in the Fortune 500 on Revenue & 695th on Profit. Employs
3,405. Trades at a 64% Discount PE Multiple of 7.3 X, vs. the 20.0 X
average multiple at which the Retailers of Electronics & Computers

NOW WHAT? - FAST GAIN ALERT! REBOUND!

I would expect a technical dead cat bounce this week. TECD is oversold
bigtime at this point. The PUTs appreciated like crazy today! Notice
a massive open interest of 1,019 TECD PUTs for the 40s FEB @ 20 last
up +$11 1/4 today! Hey, that was no accident! You can bet they are
going to cash in those PUTs since TECD hit s 52-week low of 19 3/4
today in all the panic selling!

You need to average down Ray! Wait for that rebound and then sell CCs
as far out as you can and lock in the premies. It going to be a long
stretch before TECD recovers. Look for four to six months!
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