APCO Automobile Protection Company Message Board

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Non-Tech : APCO Automobile Protection Company

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To: Cary C who wrote (3129)	2/3/1999 10:05:00 PM
From: Manny Gugliuzza	of 3351

Hi Cary With consensus growth estimates at about 25%/yr for next 5 years out from the brokers following this stock, i am going to add a minimal 10% per quarter surprise that we have constantly seen. If i am out of line someone can put this in better perspective. Fundamentals are not my strong point that brings a 35% ( 40% greater than the 25% ) estimate IF we continue to beat the estimates as in the past. With current multiples running at 33% greater than industry and these seem to be well tolerated by market price, it should bring a price to earnings of 25 to bear the stock towards 18$ if we stay on tract to .72cents /share(35% greater than.53 cents this year). Current estimates are for .63 cents, high range. if it gets frothy and runs to PE of 37 like in 1997 could see 20-23$ on current estimates or 26-27$ on the 35% increase. This seems to be in line with a 50% increase in stock price( that should occur technically in my opinion) with a close above the all time highs as momentum and continued excellent earnings reports flow from on going operations that are actually on the rise. good luck to all ar.

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