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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor
GDXJ 114.87+3.6%Dec 11 4:00 PM EST

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To: Hawkmoon who wrote (27714)2/4/1999 9:21:00 AM
From: long-gone  Read Replies (1) of 116811
 
<<I wish people would quit cheerleading gold, given that should gold once again rise to preeminence, it will only be as a result of a terrible economic disaster.>>

I disagree! At some point, the demand based on population growth for the gold useages of jewelry, medical, & industrial(main is electronics) will outstrip supply - even were the Central Banks to dump every ounce. Electronics use is growing with every passing day. A preeminent status gain due to basic demographic demand would result in no sestimic damage except due to those that were excessivly leveraged on the short side.

Were I able to have found a reference to it on-line I would have posted the Chimp-HIV link being discovered. This will (over the next
3-6 years) lead to a cure, which will lead to an increased demand for most every commodity from population growth. In most of the world, HIV kills as many the hetro-sexual(reproducing) as the Homo-sexual (non-reproducing) population.

Remember, there is a school of thought which believes the "great depression" deflationary cycle was begun(in the greatest part) by the population loss due to the early 1900's US Flu deaths and WW I deaths and technological advancements in commodities production.

This school believes it was the coupling of lower population growth rates(near negative for a two years) and with industrial revolution based productivity gains which threw the supply/demand
equation asunder.

The monetary policies of Central Banks and excessive leverage in our stock market only exacerbated the situation. It's the demand.

The current spread of AIDS and other "new" deadly diseases have been slowed. This can be seen (and has been heavily reported) in decling the growth rates seen in the funeral industry - the #1 & #2 have publicly traded in this sector have missed earnings estimates two quarters in a row and are forecasting lower growth rates.
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