From KSE@ Yahoo"regarding february 17, expect nothing because nothing is definite about announcements that day.
my best guesses, and they are only guesses:
1. on or possibly before February 17, there will be a public announcement that a majority of noteholders have approved the consent solicitation for the spinoff/ipo and the corporate investor.
2. there was the pro forma clause that the date could be delayed, to be precise, but this is IMO almost impossible. it is also possible that a majority of noteholders will vote before that date, and an announcement by the company could therefore come before february 17. that is possible.
3. IMO most likely the formal announcement of the spinoff or ipo would come after the market closes february 17, or very shortly thereafter. this is only a guess, it could come a little earlier if voting ends before the 17th, or it could come afterwards if the company wants a few days beyond the 17th. but i think it will be close, that is just my opinion but I am fairly confident it will be born out.
4. the intriguing question is when the corporate investor would be announced (or would lead). since this was mentioned directly in the consent solicitation, the latest it would be announced would be contemporaneous with the spinoff/ipo. most likely it would be included in the formal SEC registration. all near the 17th, IMO.
however, I cannot think of why the company cant release the corporate investor sooner, before voting ends. there is nothing wrong with that, that I can think of. so it is possible we get a surpise announcement soon if it is a mega-company. it is also possible that word leaks through one of the many media now covering idt (CBS, CNN, etc.).
let me emphasize that this is speculation on my part, with no evidence, so dont rely on it too much. because of the situation we find ourselves in, as long as investors understand this is just a forecast, i have no problem putting these thoughts on the table.
gooch, i will say this. i have always had a strong hunch that the hidden ball in this deal is the corporate investor. idt alone can do a solid spinoff or ipo. but it is a brand name world class internet corporate player that brings the huge upside potential that gets serious.
so expect nothing, listen closely, read carefully, trust no one, but fasten your seat belts. |