If anyone has trouble going to sleep, this ought to cure it...
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Welcome to GoInvest Weekly for the week of Feb. 3, 1998, brought to you by:
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__________________ IN THIS ISSUE ------------------ 1) Market News 2) Technology And Tech Stocks 3) Personal Finance And Mutual Funds 4) Y2K News and Analysis 5) A Look Ahead At Market Moving Events
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MARKET NEWS ----------------------------------------------------------------
Stocks In The News
bloomberg.com quicken.com
Market Wrap Up. Which sectors were strong? Which sectors were weak?
briefing.com
News That Could Affect Particular Stocks Tomorrow
bloomberg.com
Recent Commentary From Newsletter Writers
marketrap.com
What Have Insiders Been Up To?
cda.com ________________________________________________________________
TECHNOLOGY AND TECH STOCKS ----------------------------------------------------------------
For Some Internet Companies, The Bubble Has Already Burst by Greg Ip "If you are waiting for the Internet-stock bubble to burst, look closely: In many ways, it already has. Repeatedly. Despite the sector's youth, the Internet has already seen some spectacular flameouts - like Spyglass, pioneer of Web browsers, and CompuServe, which once led America Online in Internet services."
msnbc.com
When The Bubble Bursts by Economist "The Internet is a remarkable invention. Amazon and its peers are remarkable businesses. Even so, net-obsessed investors have lost touch with reality."
economist.com
One internet stock that has not flamed out continues to enter into lucrative joint ventures.
AOL Inks $500 Million Credit Card Deal by Sandeep Junnarkar and Jim Hu "America Online and First USA today announced a marketing agreement to distribute First USA's credit cards. The five- year deal could generate as much as $500 million for the online giant."
news.com
Google.com: Next Brainchild To Go Big? by Tom Taulli
techweb.com
The Tech Boom Will Keep On Rocking by Nelson D. Schwartz "Ten tech trends you can bet on."
cgi.pathfinder.com
Global Telecom Rout by Kenneth Neil Cukier "As other nations struggle for telecom dollars, the United States' superior infrastructure is eating into their political power... Today the nations with the best and cheapest tele- communications service get the lion's share of telecom revenues and are in the best position for electronic commerce -- tomorrow's source of national wealth and power."
herring.com
Qwest Sales Jump 319 Percent by Sandeep Junnarkar "The nation's No. 4 largest long distance telecommunication company said that fourth quarter total revenue increased to $865.1 million, a jump of more than 319 percent compared to the year-ago quarter."
news.com
Qwest Wins $1 Billion U.S. Contract by Bloomberg News
news.com
Cisco Tops 2Q Forecasts By A Penny by Sergio G. Non "Second quarter sales rose 40 percent to $2.8 billion, from $2 billion a year earlier, when Cisco earned $457 million, or 29 cents a share."
techweb.com
Economist Sees Signs Of Chip Turnaround by Matthew Sheerin "Citing surprisingly strong global chip sales in the fourth quarter of 1998, a leading industry economist says semiconductor demand could come in line, and possibly outstrip supply, sooner than expected."
techweb.com
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PERSONAL FINANCE AND MUTUAL FUNDS ----------------------------------------------------------------
U.S. News' 1999 Mutual Fund Guide
usnews.com
Scooping Up the Dividends by Lynn O'Shaughnessy "Dividends have fallen far down the priority scale for most investors, but the Kayne Anderson fund racks up market-beating returns by keeping a close eye on cash payouts."
mfmag.com
Janus Twenty "Scott Schoelzel has stood at the helm of $17-billion Janus Twenty just 17 months. It's more than enough time for him to earn one of Mutual Funds' top honors: 1998's Manager of the Year."
mfmag.com
The New Numbers Racket by Brian Alcorn "Web publisher John Dick may have hit on a way to predict the stock market. His method is astonishingly simple: Just ask a couple thousand investors where they think the market will be next week."
wired.com
Is Another Good Year For The S&P 500 In The Works? by Russell Wayne "More than a few investors have figured out it's easiest and most cost-effective to invest in a fund that mirrors the S&P 500, which is why Vanguard's Index 500 Fund has gathered assets at such an enormous rate. Few would question the success of this approach in recent years, but it hasn't always been that way."
techweb.com
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Y2K SITES OF THE WEEK ----------------------------------------------------------------
Drug Companies Prepare For Y2K by Elyse Tanouye "Will panicked patients attempt to hoard critical medicines out of fear that year 2000-related computer snafus could disrupt the drug pipeline?"
msnbc.com
Y2K Countdown: Will You Be In The Dark On Jan. 1, 2000? by Jesse Berst
zdnet.com
Contact The News: Y2K Won't Be A Dark Day, Edison Says
detnews.com
It looks like most of our critical infrastructure will be ready for the new millineum, but individual industries and companies will have significant problems. Many other countries are not as fortunate. Many developing counties will face a severe problems with their national infrastructure.
Zero Activity "If you thought that the millennium bug was a rich country's curse, think again. Even the poorest countries now use computers to run many essential services such as power generation, tele- communications and medical facilities. Yet, according to a new survey of 139 developing countries by the World Bank, very few of their governments are prepared for the Year 2000, or Y2K, problem."
economist.com
No Time To Spare: Developing Countries Face Y2K Crisis by Jenny Griffee "Even the least-developed countries have computerized power systems that could fail, according to a World Bank report on Y2K problems in the developing world released today. Food and fuel transportation could be disrupted. Health and medical systems and the economy are all at risk."
abcnews.go.com
Singapore is in as good a shape as any country.
Singapore Government Agencies Ready For The Y2K Bug by Reuters "Nine out of 10 Singapore government agencies have completed checks and conversion programmes to be ready for the millennium bug."
jaring.my
Millennium Bug Could End Wall Street Bull Run' by Jeremy Warner "Edward Yardeni, chief economist of Deutsche Bank Securities in the US, told participants at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, that a build-up of negative news on the year 2000 problem might cause stock markets to dive."
independent.co.uk
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A LOOK AHEAD AT MARKET MOVING EVENTS ----------------------------------------------------------------
**Some browsers or email programs prevent extended links from wrapping around to the next line. If you encounter problems with any links, we invite you to read the newsletter at our web site. goinvest.com
Article explores the dependence of other countries on the success of our economy and financial markets.
Is Market Built On Basics Or Bubble? by Jay Bryan
montrealgazette.com
Goldman Sees US Economy Terrific, But Slowing Down by Alden Bentley "Goldman, Sachs and Co. chief economist William Dudley said on Wednesday the U.S. economy is clearly "terrific," but that an expected slowdown in consumer and business spending points to slower growth.
Dudley said Goldman forecast the U.S. economy will grow by 2.7 percent in the first quarter, and 2.2 percent in the second quarter. The U.S. economy grew at a rapid 5.6 percent in the closing quarter of 1998, a year during which it expanded at 3.9 percent."
goinvest.com AnN03144409@NEWS-P2&HEADNEWS=TRUE
If the U.S. market falters, the negative effects will be more profound in the marginal economies in the developing nations. Much of our economic success depends upon the efficiency of our financial markets and the allocation of capital into the sectors that promise the highest return. Some feel the stock market at current levels is not the most prudent place to put new money.
Some Prominent Strategists Scale Back Bets On Stocks by Aaron Lucchetti "Some of Wall Street's foremost opinion drivers are flashing a yellow caution light on stocks. While nine of the 13 brokerage firms participating in The Wall Street Journal's continuing "asset-allocation" survey held their recommended blend of stocks, bonds and cash constant during the fourth quarter, some strategists have scaled back their stock bets as concerns persist that companies' earnings don't fully justify recent stock-price gains."
msnbc.com
One of the great strengths of our economy is the reduction of barriers to the flow of capital. The capital gains tax was cut a couple years ago and the rate of turn over of capital has increased significantly. The second powerful influence is the increase in individual investors trading over the internet. The increased volume of internet trades reflects large amounts of capital flowing at very low costs at light speed. This is not only a positive change for individual investors, it represents a more efficient mechanism for the allocation of billions of dollars. The internet is also improving the availability of information about the small rapidly growing companies most in need of funding for expansion.
Small Investors May Get 24-Hour Trading by Bloomberg News "Now that huge numbers of investors have become accustomed to trading from their desktop computers, their next step may be to trade online around the clock. At least two firms plan online stock markets that let small investors trade shares among themselves after the regular market closes, just as professional money managers do."
news.com
Surge In Online Trading by Reuters "Frenetic trading in Internet stocks pushed up online trading volumes as much as 50 percent in January, after a 34 percent rise to a record 340,000 trades a day in the fourth quarter, according an analyst with CS First Boston."
wired.com
Elevator.com Matches Start-ups With Money by @NY "Garage.com, a Silicon Valley-based company, recently garnered a lot of attention for its Web site, which tries to match up angel investors and VCs with fledgling companies and their business plans. Now an entrepreneur here in Silicon Alley is following Garage.com with the Elevator (www.thelevator.com), a Web site that plays matchmaker between start-ups and investors."
thestandard.com
New Startup Plays Matchmaker by Georgie Raik-Allen "The founder and CEO of Batterson Venture Partners and managing general partner of Batterson, Johnson & Wang, Mr. Batterson has launched his own startup, Venture Capital Online (VCOL), to automate the front-end process of raising venture capital. "
herring.com
The Fed did not take any action with regard to interest rates as expected. Many speculate that the Fed's next move may be to raise interest rates to calm our economy down. Europe is faced with a much different scenario.
Rate Debate In Europe "Bank of England set to lower rates, but ECB hamstrung by weak euro."
cnnfn.com
May all your longs go up and your shorts bankrupt.
Alex von Streeruwitz, CMFC Editor
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