The valve is closing... get your beach towel
BEIJING (Nikkei)--China's suspension of its long-standing exports of Daqing crude oil to Japan is a sign that the Beijing government's priorities have shifted to domestic interests, analysts say.
Last fall, Beijing stunned the international financial community with its announcement that it would liquidate the ailing Guangdong International Trust and Investment Corp., a major nonbank financial institution saddled with nonperforming debts.
Behind Beijing's firm stance of protecting domestic interests is a tough economic environment, including a worsening balance of trade and delays in reforming state-run companies.
If China further strengthens its emphasis on the domestic economy, however, it could alienate foreign capital that has sustained China's rapid economic growth, exacerbating economic uncertainty.
Beijing's major concern is a deteriorating trade balance, which could erode its vast foreign-currency reserves totaling 145 billion dollars as of the end of 1998.
China's exports have slowed significantly, posting a year-on-year increase of a mere 0.5% for 1998. Last October, the country banned spot imports of crude oil and also restricted imports of raw materials, including flat glass and steel products.
In the case of Daqing crude oil, Beijing apparently concluded that its economy will benefit more from using the crude oil at home than from exporting it to Japan for hard currency, analysts say.
(The Nihon Keizai Shimbun Saturday morning edition) |