Saturday, February 6, 1999 Indonesian Crude-Oil Price Rises On China's Export Cutoff
TOKYO (Nikkei)--A cutoff in crude-oil shipments from China has sent the price of Indonesian crude-oil exports to Japan soaring as Japanese power companies scramble to replace China's Daqing crude with Indonesian substitutes and C fuel oil refined at home.
For February shipments, the premium on standard Indonesian crude oil rose to 50-60 cents per barrel, up from minus 10 cents to zero at the end of last year.
The prices of Japan-bound Indonesian crude oil are computed by adding premiums to standard prices Indonesia submits every month. The premiums are determined by the daily supply-demand balance.
Prices of crude oil from Vietnam and other Southeast Asian producers may temporarily rise in the future, market insiders say. The supply-demand balance in the worldwide oil market has been lax, however, and the prices of crude oil from the Middle East, Europe and the U.S. are not likely to rise, according to one observer at a Japanese trading house.
But if the suspension of Daqing crude exports continues into the summer, it could raise prices of oil from countries other than Indonesia, squeezing the earnings of Japan's electric utilities.
The nine power companies imported 3 million kiloliters of Daqing crude in fiscal 1997, accounting for some 30% of the imported crude oil consumed for thermal power generation.
(The Nihon Keizai Shimbun Saturday morning edition) |