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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services

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To: thomas hayden who wrote (36961)2/6/1999 12:25:00 PM
From: Gary Burton  Read Replies (1) of 95453
 
The trouble with these types of forecasts is that they are based on what one CURRENTLY sees out there (ie down, down and more down) and are probably not based on much speculation of what the new future crystal ball may look like 6 months from now. So, in effect, all such forecasts are useless in part because in most cases stock prices have already dropped to reflect current forecasts. Another way of saying that FA and earnings forecasts should probably be taken with a grain of salt. Instead study the charts as to what investors are DOING and how MOMENTUM may be changing as the trough in stock prices gets closer or has already passed. I used to listen all day to CNBC. Now, for the most part, I turn it off as I find I am much better able to make decisions without the usual herd mentality.
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