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Strategies & Market Trends : The 56 Point TA; Charts With an Attitude

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To: Magnatizer who wrote (24559)2/7/1999 8:07:00 PM
From: Magnatizer  Read Replies (2) of 79214
 
Market magnets 2.8.98

Dow 30: Indicators are mixed. Weekly still on buy so I am holding my
longs but its not easy. The set of three trendlines from 9213 to
9373 are proving to be quite magnetic which makes sense as, when they
are plotted on a chart they all qualify as a lin regression line for
the Dow since 95. The most significant of the three has anchors of
12.15.94 to 9.11.95 connect lows. I am watching it closely for signs
of a serious market downturn. Warning shots are being fired but
nothing concrete to give me a bail signal yet.

Nasdaq: Indicators mixed here also. Last week was ugly but it did
set a higher high, higher low formation which is a positive. Main
concern is the limited test of 2055 strong mag. This is my major
concern for the tech sector. Large cap techs are set up to take a
beating soon. Itchy trigger on my CPQ holdings, would have exited
last week but, well... mas cerveza. 2227 uptrend must hold.

SP500: Once again mixed indicators. Weekly buy still on. The "85"
line has major pull. For those who missed the last few updates on
this line it is a connection of the lows from 10.2.85 to 2.5.86. Its
significance was defined from 86-87 as the SP500 tried valantly to
hold the break out above it and could not get it done. Its final
attempt to break through this trendline was in August of 87. The
SP500 did not challenge this line again until July of 98 and again in
December of 98 until now. It appears to be using it as support but
needs to be tracked closely. A day where the SP500 high is < this
lines value will give me major cause for concern. 2 days and I will
exit 50% longs if the the market is kind enough to hang on. Again,
there are warning shots being fired and caution is advised. Its value
monday is 1238

Mond Tues Wed Thurs Fri
DOW 30 Close 9304
day prior

Monday Friday
(if sloped)

8561 -743 8561 8561 8561 8561
8980 -324 8980 8980 8980 8980
9213 9236 -91 9219 9225 9230 9236
9243 9264 -61 9248 9254 9259 9264
9373 9395 69 9379 9384 9390 9395
9398 94 9398 9398 9398 9398
9637 9712 333 9656 9675 9693 9712
9714 9747 410 9722 9731 9739 9747
9651 347 9651 9651 9651 9651
9905 601 9905 9905 9905 9905
10158 854 10158 10158 10158 10158

Nasdaq Close 2374
day prior

Monday Friday

1846 -528 1846 1846 1846 1846
1910 -464 1910 1910 1910 1910
1973 -401 1973 1973 1973 1973
2055 -319 2055 2055 2055 2055
2131 2140 -243 2133 2136 2138 2140
2227 2234 -147 2229 2231 2232 2234
2316 -58 2316 2316 2316 2316
2476 2484 102 2478 2480 2482 2484
2497 123 2497 2497 2497 2497
2612 2664 238 2625 2638 2651 2664
2655 281 2655 2655 2655 2655
2970 596 2970 2970 2970 2970

SP500 Close 1239
day prior

Monday Friday

1116 -123 1116 1116 1116 1116
1162 -77 1162 1162 1162 1162
1177 1178 -62 1177 1178 1178 1178
1223 -16 1223 1223 1223 1223
1238 1239 -1 1238 1239 1239 1239
1260 1269 21 1262 1265 1267 1269
1257 1259 18 1258 1258 1259 1259
1300 61 1300 1300 1300 1300
1321 1322 82 1321 1322 1322 1322
1403 1405 164 1404 1404 1405 1405
1447 208 1447 1447 1447 1447

ht
david
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