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Technology Stocks : Vitesse Semiconductor
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To: OldAIMGuy who wrote (2262)2/11/1999 12:10:00 AM
From: Duane L. Olson  Read Replies (1) of 4710
 
Tom, Was doing some analysis, and VTSS turned out well, so thought I would pass it on: I'll spare the details, but basically is takes next year's earnings estimate TIMES the projected 5-year growth rate. Resulting actual earnings are assigned a PE of twice the growth rate.
A determination is then made of what annual, compounded Rate of Return would be necessary to achieve the projected price. The result is an annual ROI (last column). So, for what it is worth, VTSS comes out on top in this run. Interestingly, AOL doesn't do all that well, as one of the best of the internet stocks (in some analysts' view)
********************************************Next Yr*******************
Company**Price***2004 Pr****Rate/Gr %******Earnings*****Annual ROI****
CYMI******25.5*****317********36.3***********.94***********65.5*******
DPMI******46.8*****160********19.1**********1.75***********27.9*******
VTSS******43.6*****618********42.6**********1.23***********69.9*******
PCMS******+7.6*****107********32.3***********.41***********69.7*******
AMCC******36.5*****254********30.8**********1.08***********47.4*******
AOL*******151******626********47.2********** .96***********32.9*******

PS.. I exited VTSS at 51 1/2 and feel naked without it.. I'll be back post-haste! Cheers!
TSO
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