Novell (NOVL) dirt cheap, good buy? Message Board

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Technology Stocks : Novell (NOVL) dirt cheap, good buy?

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To: Paul Fiondella who wrote (25408)	2/11/1999 5:08:00 PM
From: Spartex	Read Replies (1) of 42771

<<If Server platforms was $626 million in 98 up from $618 in 1997 and we use 15% as the projected increase then we are looking at $720 million. Take $292 for directory enabled apps and add 40% and we get $409 million. Leave service and other constant at $166 and you get a projected revenue of $1,295 million.>> Going on this assumption, then revenue growth would go from $1084 million to $1295 million into 1999, roughly 22% annualized revenue growth which seems very healthy IMHO. What would this do to earnings growth? Of course one has to estimate increased marketing and advertising costs. But if costs stay relatively fixed as a very liberal example, an additional $200 million gross revenues/330 million shares = 60 cents/share. Even 40 cents on top of last years 28 cents earnings would create a substantial increase. 69 cents in 1999?? Would appreciate the number crunchers' opinions here. TIA, QuadK

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