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Translation company or speech recognition company ????? by: jdcruyen 6123 of 6123 Goolie2 wrote:
My concern, besides the obvious accounting issues outstanding, is that I have yet to see a ramp up in demmand for their technology. My greatest fear is that speech tech is rapidly becomming a commodity. Dragon, L&H, IBM, Philips et al, offer speech tech. Yes L&H is the leader in translation, but this historically has been a slow growth business...... So my origninal reason to own L&H was for the speech and translation play, now translation is the only play, and I don't know if there is alot of upside for L&H if it's a translation company..........................
Your message is somewhat contradictory. You fear that speech technology will become a commodity but on the other hand you fear that L&H is only a translation company.
The answer is simple : L&H is a speech technology company AND a translation company and the latter is a big advantage over competers like Dragon and IBM. Why?? Because L&H can be certain of a stable and growing revenue in translation business which provide them with enough money do further research in speech technology. Personally, I believe that it is L&H that keeps the prices for speech recognition so low for the moment, because they know that other companies (f.e. Dragon) will become in trouble because they don't have other sources of revenue. Look at the chemical industry, profit margins are low and unpredictable, that is the reason that all these companies want a pharmaceutical division to be sure of a non-cyclic revenue.
Furthermore, I do not agree that translation business will grow slowly. It is a market that will explode!!! Even in Belgium, where we are so proud that a lot of people speak different languages, I estimate that only a maximum of 10% of the people is really speaking and understanding a little bit of English (of course most people connected to the internet have basic bbut adequate English knowledge, but in Belgium the majority of people on the internet are people with higher education and not the working man on the street). If companies like f.e. Amazone will be a succes here, they will need a flewish website, and in Danemark a Danish and in Poland etc.... Think of the expansion of the European Community (now already 11 languages). L&H is currently working on more than 30 languages!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Last remark: L&H is preparing to be a leader in artificial intelligence (AI). Since artificial intelligence could no make the promises it claimed in the seventies, fa lot of people are convinced that AI has no future. However, now technology (neural networks, genetic algorithms) reached a point that AI can break through. What has this to do with L&H?? Language is the basis of AI. I REPEAT: WITHOUT NATURAL LANGUAGE UNDERSTANDING NO AI IS POSSIBLE. When you can learn a language to a computer, this computer will be able to learn on its own (f.e. reading all the web pages at an unbelievable speed). Don't think this is science fiction: computers were also science fiction some 40 years ago. L&H is investing rapidly in the field of artificial intelligence; look to their recent press releases.
Long on L&H.
Kenneth
Posted: Feb 12 1999 5:53AM EST as a reply to: Msg 6111 by Goolie2
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