NOSTRADAMUS eat your heart out! <<gggg>>
Sunday, Dec 20 1998 3:27PM ET ZTECT MAKES THE CALL !!!!
techstocks.com
To: Tim Luke (3413 )
From: ztect
Sunday, Dec 20 1998 3:27PM ET
Will public support for Clinton erode as a trial proceeds and will pressure grow on him to resign?
Maybe
-- Is there any chance of 12 Democratic senators abandoning the president, giving the Republicans the 67 votes needed to remove him from office?
No...Unlike members of the House of Representatives who are elected every two years, members of the Senate are under less political pressure to comply with the the "Republican leadership" (something of an oxymoron). Why? Many "moderate" House Republicans were threatened that if they voted against impeachment or for censure, that a well funded ultra conservative would oppose them in their primaries in two years.
A more likely scenario than Democratic Senators breaking rank, is that three or four moderate Republicans defect and consequently rather than impeachment the Senate votes for censure.
Regarding the House vote, one should also note that as a lame duck Congress there is a large question as to the validity of the vote. The whole point of moving so quickly and forward with the vote in the House, even with forces engaged in Iraq, was that many of these lame duck Representatives won't be in Congress. Thus with slimmer majorities and re-appointed committee chairs, the impeachment vote ,if it even arose, would have been defeated.
-- Will the Republicans face a political backlash in the elections of 2000 for pursuing the impeachment case against Clinton in the face of public opposition?
Yes, most definitely. Pressure by the far right has alienated many Republicans and has fractured the party. Even the Republican's designated front runner to date, Governor George Bush of Texas is considered way to moderate for the Ollie North's, Jerry Falwell's and Pat Robertson of the fanatically right.
Now name a current Republican Senator or Representaive who has any viability on the national stage? Without Bush, do you think the Republicans have a chance in h@ll of reclaiming the Executive Branch of government with the likes of Quayle, Bennett, Forbes or Buchanan?(Governors Ridge, Pataki and Whitman are less viable than Bush and also way too moderate for the far right).
A certain politician who gave up his Senate position because of his disgust of partisan politics will kick a little butt in the next election. So remember you read it here first... the next President of the United States will be Bill Bradley.
Also remember that you read it here first, that Bill will have the first female Vice President, a moderate Democratic Senator from the State of California Diane Feistein.
The Bradley/Feinstein ticket is going to have long coat tails.
-- Can Congress or the president get anything else accomplished in the next year?
Has the do nothing Congress done anything? Why should things be any different with a weakened President? Wasn't this the whole point of this farce anyway i.e. to undermine a popular President so he can't utilized the bully pulpit to enact legislation?
Funny how Starr, who is a paid advocate for Tobacco companies (and helped Paula Jones find her attorneys), and his investigation occurred at the same time that the President was trying to implement tougher tobacco legislation.
Coincedence? No.
ztect
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