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Technology Stocks : America On-Line: will it survive ...?

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To: DrGamble who wrote (1496)2/6/1997 10:44:00 PM
From: (Bob) Zumbrunnen   of 13594
 
Well, as far as I can tell, the $74 mil restructuring charge was anticipated in the expected 55 cent loss. Somehow, the $24 mil for estimated refunds was enough to make the loss $1.64. Haven't read all of the stories yet tonight, but, no surprise, the one I'm reading now from AOL themselves starts out with bragging about record revenues, etc.

I'll look at this in more detail later. Some things aren't quite setting right, like an additional $24 mil in outlays adding $1.09 to the per-share loss; indications they expect to have 100,000 extra modems up in April plus 50,000 leased ones; etc.

I'm coming up with a 60 cent per share loss before the $74 mil charge and $24 mil charge. My understanding is the $74 mil charge was expected by analysts and taken into account for the 55 cent estimate. Including the $74 mil but not the $24 mil gives a $1.38 per share loss.

The initial hype in the news release might fool some people, but it won't fool the bean counters for a second. The earnings were either considerably below expectations or radically below them, depending on what charges you include.
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