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Technology Stocks : AUTOHOME, Inc
ATHM 24.86-0.2%3:59 PM EST
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To: Robert Scott who wrote (5411)2/15/1999 6:53:00 AM
From: E. Davies  Read Replies (2) of 29970
 
The difference is that in 2001 ATHM with say 16 million users will still be at the beginning of its exponential growth towards quite possibly 100-200 million users a few years after that. Even AOL does not have that kind of potential. As a matter of fact AOL is sitting on two critical ticking time bombs:
1) Lack of widespread broadband capability which will completely replace dial-up.
2) The maturing of the users. AOL depends on newbies and non-technically oriented people who want a more limited experience than the web provides.

ATHM also has the potential for many more types of income sources than AOL does (example: @work).
Even by 2001 a great deal of the price will be based on future potential (as it is now). However, ATHM has to do it right and there are many major potential disasters along the way. Its fun to think of how great it could be, but also not such a bad idea to think of how easy it could all go wrong.
Eric
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