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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum
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To: Ahda who wrote (8020)2/16/1999 2:51:00 PM
From: Paul Berliner  Read Replies (1) of 9980
 
The sell signals are all over the place:
The market gives many sell signals before the end of a bull market:
1. Dow transports doing poorly, depsite low oil prices (sell signal since August)
2. Poor market breadth on most rally days - sell signal since August, too.
3. Negative divergence between bond market and stock market, i.e.
since the birth of the bull in the early 80's, the stock market has followed the bond market - as bond prices rose, stock prices followed and vice-versa. Sell signal since August. You may not buy this one if you believe a new bull market commenced in mid- Oct as Ralph Make'em Poorer believes.
4. Bank loan loss provisions increasing - the classic sign of the
'end' of the boom cycle. Especially troubling is the recent rises
in provisions by smaller, rural area banks.
5. Weakening of the dollar vs. more than 1 major currency - this is
a BIG sell sign.
6. Finally, the sentiment is too bullish - another big sell sign.
You have idiots day trading in etrade when they don't even know the
name of the company they're buying.
A few weeks back on one of SI's day trading threads, I noticed the following post (a big sell sign):
view the post & the reply:
techstocks.com
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