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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC)
INTC 42.49-5.7%3:59 PM EST

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To: Mary Cluney who wrote (73733)2/16/1999 3:25:00 PM
From: Amy J  Read Replies (1) of 186894
 
Re: "market plateau"

Michael, even in a market plateau or your 15% figure, consider how Intel is taking existing markets away from others who fumble...

- Network gear: Intel went from $0B to $2B in 1-2 years from ground zero
(Absolutely amazing)
- Merced targets new markets (new to Intel)
- AMD meltdown

Also consider new and expanding markets:

- Merced deployment
- VC Investments: Inktomi (from UCB) with a 10X return, etc.
- Y2K replacement PCs
- Fueling Ecommerce growth with ecommerce servers
- Consumer/Corp Internet & website growth continues, expands overseas
- Continued expansion of Network card biz
- Future VS, VOD, interactive Internet broadcasting growth to fuel PC growth
- MC removes the barrior to videoconferencing market expansion
- Int'l recovery

My suggestion: get in now, before Merced ships. When Intel's stock moves, it tends to move quickly. "200 in 2000" are nice even numbers and the phrase sounds lovely.

Amy J
p.s. So you got $146? I thought the formula would have outputted $150 or $155. Thanks for running the numbers. I wouldn't focus too much on SIA figures - it may possibly be dragging down the estimate of a single good company with accumulated estimates from the bad companies (i.e. the ones going through hard times; the ones in different/wrong product mixes.) Also, it doesn't appear to include the growth driven by the other factors mentioned.
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