Blackie...
Look what I received...I wrote and told them, they need to be careful who they take $$ from for promotion.
From: list@stockwatch.comAdd to Address Book Subject: Stockwatch: KIK Tire Technology To:irvinesully@yahoo.com
M3 Research: "Growth at the No Flat Tire Company"
KIK Tire Technologies Inc KIK Shares issued 9,255,600 Feb 16 close $0.25 Tue 16 Feb 99
M3 Research INSTITUTIONAL RESEARCH RATING: Buy
February 1, 1999
DJIA: 9,358.83 NASDAQ: 2,505.87 TSE 300: 6,729.10
KIK Tire Technologies Inc. (KIK.AL - C$0.45) "Growth at the No Flat Tire Company"
52 Week range - Common C$0.93 - C$0.09 Common Outstanding (E) 10,418,000 Market Capitalization C$4,688,100 Estimated Float (shares) 7,478,000 Fully Diluted Shares (E) 10,418,000 Long Term Debt C$446,241 Debt / Equity Mkt Cap. 9.5% Exchange Rate C$1.00 = US$0.66 Market Alberta Exchange Auditors: Deloitte & Touche
Fiscal Year Ending ----------------------------------- 01/97 01/98 01/99 Est 01/00 Est ------- ------- --------- --------- Revenue (C$000) $2,156 $2,422 $3,600 $5,077 Net Income (C$000) -$654.6 -$674.4 -$300.0 $121.7 Earnings per Share -$0.10 -$0.09 -$0.03 $0.01
6 Months Ending ------------------- 07/97 07/98 -------- -------- Revenue (C$000) $1,203.1 $1,702.3 Net Income (C$000) -$236.2 -$183.4 Earnings per Share -$0.03 -$0.02
(E) Estimate
Investment Conclusion We are initiating coverage of KIK Tire Technologies Inc. based in Calgary, Alberta (KIK.AL) with a Buy recommendation. KIK Tire sells no flat,polyurethane tires and tire assemblies for medical, lawn and garden, and industrial applications. Sales at KIK Tire have grown at a 49.7% compounded annual rate over the past three fiscal years including the current year ending January 1999 for which we project $US 2.4 million in revenue. This growth is the result of careful management planning which includes William Knooihuizen, Director and Executive VP who joined the Company in 1993. Mr. Knooihuizen is a chemical engineer who has over 25 years of experience in polyurethane processing technology and has developed strategic supplier and distribution arrangements for KIK Tire. KIK Tire operates a tire manufacturing plant based in Oceanside, California and is headquartered in Calgary, Alberta. After meeting with management on December 17th, we are projecting sales revenue to increase 37.5% in 1999 over 1998's total to $US 3.3 million. Our twelve month price target is C$2.00 based on aggressive capital budget in 1999. In summary:* To accelerate sales growth, the Company has developed and is now marketing complete tire assemblies (hub included) to broaden demand from customers. New assemblies being developed will reduce prices closer to those of rubber tires. * With a C$3 million capital budget in 1999, EPS could approach C$0.05 on over C$5 million in revenue in the fiscal year ending Jan. '00 and in the fiscal year ending Jan. '01, EPS could approach C$0.20 with revenue at C$12.4 million. M3 and Pickens Group, Inc. are supporting the Company's plan to source funds to accelerate profit growth. *KIK Tire's microcellular polyurethane tires are lightweight and last 4 to 10 times longer than rubber pneumatic tires depending on molded density. Combined with the benefit of no flat tires, superior value is created for customers. * KIK Tire's manufacturing plant is operating at 30% of capacity and has tremendous operating leverage to boost gross margins from 22.7% recorded in the year ending January 1998. Operating leverage allows KIK to be more price competitive with air-filled pneumatic tires. Incremental unit production cost consists primarily of raw materials.
Insider ownership (E) 2,740,000 (26.3%) 30 Day Avg. Daily Vol. 12,300 Fiscal Year January EPS 1999(E) -$0.03 EPS 2000(E) $0.01
Summary KIK Tire Technologies began trading publicly in September 1987 as a Toronto, Ontario based manufacturer of wheelchair tires. In 1989, the Company acquired international rights and technology to manufacture microcellular polyurethane (MCP) tires from Urethane Technology, Inc. (UTI) based in Santa Ana, California. At that time the Company relocated its manufacturing operations to Southern California. From 1989 to 1995, KIK Tire was primarily a research and development company. The Company greatly improved upon UTI technology to develop a fourth generation of chemical formulation and a third generation of manufacturing equipment. Perfecting the chemical formulation to develop highly resilient materials was the most difficult hurdle to overcome. A total of C$7 million has been spent on development including engineering, tooling, testing, and manufacturing equipment. During the first six months of 1998, the Oceanside plant began generating positive cash flow which will accelerate with production increases. In 1995, KIK Tire entered into a strategic alliance with ARNCO for the marketing of the Company's tires under ARNCO's private label "CarefreeTire". ARNCO's salesforce and network of tire dealers actively market Carefree tires. ARNCO is the world's largest international supplier of tire flatproofing materials and sealants.To facilitate the transition to maintenance free polyurethane tires by major original equipment manufacturers (OEM) in key industrial and lawn and garden markets, KIK Tire is now manufacturing complete tire assemblies which reduces the entire cost to the OEM. The tire and rim combinations from one supplier simplify and improve quality for OEMs. KIK Tire will introduce innovative assemblies with unbeatable quality and more competitive pricing in its lawn and garden line in 1999. The Company's production process requires the dispensing of catalyzed liquid chemicals into a spinning mold. This centrifugal casting of activated polyurethane base stock raw materials results in a tough molded polymer with a uniformly dense porous foam core. Production cycle time to produce an MCP tire is measured in seconds as opposed to minutes for rubber pneumatic tires. KIK tires can be designed and molded to virtually any tread specification. The spin casting results in the tires being perfectly balanced.
Markets The home medical equipment(HME) market provides 50% of the Company's revenue. KIK Tire produces "no flat tires" for wheelchairs, scooters, and walkers. Everest & Jennings, the second largest HME company is one of KIK Tire's largest customers of no flat wheelchair tires. The market for no flat replacement tires is also more profitable.Industrial tires currently account for 35% of the Company's revenue and provides the greatest opportunity for growth. Industrial applications include hand carts, portable machines, and dollies for shippers and manufacturers. KIK Tire is selling its industrial tires in Europe through a facility in the Netherlands. Europe already accounts for a significant portion of KIK's sales and shipment volume should increase substantially. Lawn & Garden, including golf carts, currently contribute 15% of sales revenue. Tire assemblies are made for mowers and wheelbarrows. The Company has developed an entire assembly for the wheelbarrow market. It is currently negotiating with large equipment manufacturers to make KIK Tire's assembly an intergal component of the wheelbarrow.
Management Officers and Directors of the Company including major shareholders own or are beneficial owners of 26.3% of the shares outstanding. Management has extensive experience in all aspects of polyurethane applications. The Company has no institutional debt. Debt is held by Directors or individuals who have been active shareholders in the Company. Don Dean has been President, CEO, and a Director of the Company since June 1987. Prior to joining the Company, Mr. Dean was an engineer and plant manager for the Toronto Marketing and Chemical Distribution Terminal for Shell Canada Limited. Between 1984 and 1987, Mr. Dean was President of a company that manufactured polyurethane foam insulated fiberglass buildings and shelters for the energy industry. William Knooihuizen has served as Executive VP, Manufacturing & Marketing and as a Director since May 1997. He joined KIK Tire as a plant manager in May 1993. As a Chemical engineer he has over 25 years of experience in urethane processing technology, where he has held the position of VP/General Manager for Dam Industries, Inc., United Foam Corp., and Evanite Permaglass.
New Developments To accelerate sales growth and make KIK's tires more price competitive, the Company has developed and is now marketing complete tire assemblies (hub included) to price its tires closer to the price of cheaper rubber tires. An immediate developmental project to be undertaken is the design, engineering, tooling, and prototyping of a more advanced tire and wheel assembly incorporating a new hub designed specifically for KIK's tire technology. This product can be priced at levels competitive with cheaper pneumatic tires, which considering all of the additional physical and operating advantages of KIK tires, should significantly increase revenue and profitability of the Company. The full wheel assemblies KIK now produces utilize standard pneumatic hubs that require more urethane mass in the tire with added expense. The new assemblies that the Company will introduce will include a hub exclusively for KIK tires. The hub will mechanically grip the tire and extend upwards into the tire area. Urethane mass required for the tire will be reduced and thus reduce the cost of the tire and result in more competitive pricing versus rubber pneumatic tires. Polyurethane feedstock is more expensive than an equivalent amount of rubber compound used to make rubber tires, so a reduction in polyurethane mass offsets the higher feedstock cost of polyurethane.
Valuation KIK Tire Technologies has collectively spent C$7 million on research and development to develop a broad line of MCP tires. Over 200 different tire sizes have been developed. Having perfected chemical formulations, the Company's capital budget is now geared to expanding production to utilize existing plant capacity. KIK is producing complete tire assemblies to make it easier for a broad range of original equipment manufacturers to purchase its products. Surveying KIK's competition, we found two companies that make MCP tires but are not real competition for KIK. The largest indirect competitor based in Southern California has sales of approximately US$ 5.0 million. A private company, it specializes in wheelchair tires and sells approximately 70% of its output to one large home medical equipment company. This competitor has experimented with bicycle tires but has not yet achieved success. American Tire Corp. (OTC: ATYR), based in Ohio has raised capital and is attempting to market a "flat free" MCP bicycle tire. While the tire has achieved positive test results, American Tire faces the obstacle that all polyurethane bicycle tires face. Unless bicycle manufacturers are willing to dedicate special tire rims to polyurethane, the MCP tires cannot be fit tight enough on a standard pneumatic tire rim. Bicycle manufacturers must purchase a polyurethane tire and rim assembly for these tires to gain acceptance. To date, bicycle manufacturers have been unwilling to commit to a polyurethane tire because these tires cannot also be used with rubber pneumatic tire rims. Another reason is that an MCP bicycle tire is more expensive than a rubber tire increasing the final retail sticker price for the complete bicycle.
KIK Tire Technologies, Valuation Measures
KIK Tire Technologies American Tire Symbol: KIK.AL Symbol: ATYR Market: Alberta (ASE) Market: OTC
$US $(Canadian) $US Price 1/29/98 $0.30 $0.45 $1.44 52wH $0.61 $0.93 $5.50 52wL $0.06 $0.09 $0.75 Shares out.(mil) 10.42 3.40 Market cap($mil) $3.09 $4.69 $4.89 Float sh.(mil.) 7.48 1.70 Book value/sh. - $0.54 Premium to BV/sh - 166.2% Trailing 12mo EPS diluted $(0.05) $(0.08) $(0.57) PE ratio T12 - -
T12=Trailing 12 months
Sales ($000) 6mo. 1998 $1,702.3 $314.8*
Incr. (%) '98/'97 41.5%
Net Income ($000) 6mo. 1998 -$183.4 -$1,639.8*
Cash Flow ($000) 6mo. 1998 -$141.8 -$903.2*
Gross Margin(%) 6mo. 1998 15.4% 29.6%*
Gross Margin(%) 12mo. 1/98 22.8%
* 9 months ending March 1998 Exchange Rate C$1.00 = US$0.66
Because KIK Tire is diversified in its product lines and is much futher along in building and marketing product lines such as lawn and garden and industrial applications, KIK Tire Technologies is better positioned to grow its business beyond the home medical equipment market. Most of the Company's plant operating expenses are fixed costs giving the Company tremendous operating leverage as sales increase. This will reduce the per unit cost of production and provide more gross margin to KIK to improve profitability and also price MCP tires more competitively with conventional air-filled pneumatic rubber tires.
Summary The ratio of unit price to tire tread life is already superior for polyurethane tires versus rubber pneumatic tires. This value achieved by consumers is in addition to time saved with a maintenance free tire and reduced downtime by industrial users. Operating leverage combined with new tire assemblies marketed to customers will allow KIK Tire to price product that will make this ratio even more compelling as sales volume increases. Sales at KIK Tire have grown at a 49.7% compounded annual rate over the past three fiscal years. With capital spending on new production equipment in 1999, EPS could approach C$0.05 on over C$5 million in revenue in the fiscal year ending January 2000 and in the fiscal year ending January 2001, EPS could approach C$0.20 with revenue at C$12.4 million. Our twelve month price target is C$2.00 based on an aggressive capital spending program in 1999.
KIK Tire Technologies, Inc. Balance Sheet ($Canadian) July 31, 1998
July 31, Jan. 31, 1998 1998 ----------- ----------- ASSETS
CURRENT
Cash $94,592 $144,554
Accounts Receivable $595,638 $455,187
Inventories $206,251 $199,279
Prepaid Expenses $15,685 $12,172
Capital Assets $279,727 $298,597
Deposits $14,791 $13,470
TOTAL ASSETS $1,206,684 $1,123,259
LIABILITIES CURRENT
Accounts Payable
Trade $697,839 $637,743
Other $551,121 $471,960
Current Portion of notes payable $58,273 $55,460
Current portion of loan payable $3,761 $6,460
TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES $1,310,994 $1,171,623
Deposit received for shares - $5,250
Due to Captive Air Manufacturing Inc. $269,795 $269,795
Notes payable and accrued interest $176,446 $71,153
TOTAL LIABILITIES $1,757,235 $1,517,821
CAPITAL DEFICIENCY
Share Capital $8,108,198 $8,099,448
Deficit ($8,650,919) ($8,467,491)
Foreign currency translation adjustment ($7,830) ($26,519)
TOTAL DEFICIENCY ($550,551) ($394,562)
TOTAL LIABILITIES & CAPITAL DEFICIENCY $1,206,684 $1,123,259
Disclaimer and Disclosure This analysis has been prepared from original sources and data believed to be reliable but no representation is made as to its accuracy or completeness. This is not intended to be an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the securities referred to herein. M3 Research ("M3") and/or its officers, employees, agents and or one of its affiliated entities may from time to time have a position in one or more of the securities referred to herein. M3, Inc. has purchased common stock in KIK Tire Technologies Inc. during the past 90 days. This security may not be suitable for all investors.
------------ NEWS RELEASE ------------
M3 Initiates Coverage of KIK Tire Technologies Inc.
CALGARY, Jan. 25 /CNW/ - KIK Tire Technologies Inc. (ASE: ''KIK'') announced today that Dallas, Texas - based venture capital and institutional research firm M3, Inc., has initiated research coverage on KIK Tire. M3 will also assist the Company in its future corporate financing activities. KIK operates a manufacturing and international marketing operation for its proprietary flat-proof, off-highway tire product line from its base in Oceanside, California. "We have great confidence in KIK's management and their ability to identify new and expanding markets for its unique tire system," says Michael Pickens, President of M3. "We have taken a substantial equity position in KIK as an expression of our commitment, and we look forward to working closely with their management in carrying out the Company's growth strategies." According to Don Dean, chairman and CEO of KIK, "Michael Pickens and M3 have an excellent industry and institutional following, particularly in the U.S., and we are fortunate to have developed this affiliation. With M3, KIK will receive the skilled support and recognition it deserves from a significant force in the U.S. financial community." Both Pickens and his associates have served several Wall Street firms which have directly provided their services for major industry investors including Carl Icahn, Gordon Getty, and T. Boone Pickens. KIK Tire has been developing its technology and polyurethane tire applications for over 12 years, and now markets over 200 tire and caster products through strategic partners and distributors world wide. KIK's markets include industrial applications such as materials handling equipment; lawn, garden and turf equipment applications such as wheelbarrows, mowers and golf carts; home medical equipment such as wheelchairs and power scooters; and sports equipment including bicycles. The Company wishes to advise its customers, shareholders and interested parties that the KIK "Home Page" is on the World Wide Web and available for review and business updates at its Internet address: kiktire.com. THE ALBERTA STOCK EXCHANGE HAS NEITHER APPROVED NOR DISAPPROVED OF THE CONTENTS OF THIS PRESS RELEASE.
------------ NEWS RELEASE ------------
KIK Tire Technologies Inc. Posts Significant Revenue Increase
February 15, 1999 - KIK Tire Technologies Inc. of Calgary, Alberta is pleased to announce that sales revenues for the 1998 operating year increased by 46% over the previous year. Sales to January 31, 1999 were $3.5 million compared with $2.4 million for the same period last year. There was considerable strength in fourth quarter sales of KIK's private labelled tire brands to the U.S. industrial and lawn and garden equipment markets. Sales are particularly strong to the growing network of hub and wheal manufacturers who in turn mount KIK-manufactured tires on their hubs and sell complete wheel "assemblies" into a wide variety of markets. Wheelbarrow tire/wheel combinations assembled at the KIK factory in Oceanside, CA and sold to a major distributor are expected to increase significantly through 1999 as agreements are concluded with large mass retailers. More information on this activity will be announced shortly. As announced in KIK's news release dated January 25, 1999, a Dallas, Texas-based venture capital and institutional research firm M3, Inc. has completed a favourable research report on KIK's current and long term growth prospects. Their report is available upon request. As also reported, M3 will assist the Company in its future corporate financing activities. KIK manufactures a broad line of off-highway polyurethane tire products at its California plant using its proprietary technology. Markets include materials handling equipment; recreational products such as bicycles and golf equipment; wheelchairs and power scooters, and lawn and garden equipment such as wheelbarrows and mowers. For more information please visit the Company's website at: kiktire.com; contact via e-mail at mailto:kbaid@panda.com ; or contact Vic Schafer, Investor Relations at (403) 615-2559; or Don Dean, President at (403) 233-0468. THE ALBERTA STOCK EXCHANGE HAS NEITHER APPROVED NOR DISAPPROVED OF THE CONTENTS OF THIS PRESS RELEASE.
KIK Tire Technologies Inc. ASE Stock Symbol: KIK Website: kiktire.com E-mail: mailto:kbaid@panda.com
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