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Technology Stocks : Internet Guru Discussion

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To: DaYooper who wrote (216)2/17/1999 3:16:00 AM
From: steve harmon - analyst  Read Replies (1) of 4337
 
software licensing is a good model but firms like broadcast.com, yahoo, excite, lycos have proven that providing a service matters more than software

the inherent weakness in being a software company is microsoft crushing you

ironically it may be harder for any giant to crush a service
with a service microsoft's edge isn't as good as with software
software relies on the OS more while services are open to internet protocols

the new OS is the Internet itself, every link on every home page or Web site is the code for this new OS

being a service company allows you to grow not based on technology investment internally but by the investment of others to make better internet server software

said another way, a small company cannot compete in the software business if the giants want that space -- microsoft wants the multimedia streaming media space, that's what windows media player is all about

but microsoft had to buy into msnbc and the cable firms it invested in since they were based on programming and brands, in some cases, brands stronger than microsoft

microsoft understands software but not media

the internet is more media like than software like, the experience itself of using the internet is more valuable (in my view) than the technology behind it

just as watching tv -- the superbowl for example -- costs several $million for an ad. what's changed technologically between superbowl sunday and the sunday before or after it? nothing. you're watching the same tv with the same technology behind it

the programming, brands and context make superbowl sunday more valuable

this is a service and shows how 'service' is more valuable than technology

i believe service wins, that's why yahoo has done so well, and amazon, and ebay, and earthlink and mindspring

that's also why netscape ended up losing the internet game -- it thought of itself as a 'software' company and played according to microsoft's rules: code warriors, browser-a-browser, server-a-server, mano-a-mano

service wins in my book

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